Throughout the early days of the pandemic, President Trump got a significant bump in polls and reversed the trend of losing to Biden in key battleground states.
All of that has not only turned but done so in a significant way that shows it is time for Trump to hit the gas pedal on attacking Joe Biden.
Lots of Bad News for Trump
Again, if you read me regularly, you know I think polls are only good for showing trends rather than being the be-all-end-all for an election prediction.
Having said that, recent polling for Trump is very bad across the board.
While he still enjoys significant support among Republicans, his support among Democrats and Independents has taken a significant turn.
In the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, Biden now leads Trump nationally by 49 percent to 42 percent.
In live interview polls, Biden has actually surpassed the 50 percent mark, getting 51 percent of support in a general election.
That level of support is pretty much unprecedented when going up against an incumbent president.
In a recent RMG Research poll, Trump is also trailing Biden 47-37 percent and those numbers get worse in a Garin-Hart-Yang poll as well as a CNN poll, which have Biden winning 53-41 and 55-41 respectively.
Even for national polls, those are rather huge margins.
Bad for the Battleground States Too
According to FiveThirtyEight, here are the most recent battleground states polling numbers:
Arizona – 46-42 in favor of Biden
Colorado – 53-40 in favor of Biden
Florida – 48-45 in favor of Biden
Georgia – 48-47 in favor of Biden
Michigan – 53-41 in favor of Biden
Minnesota – 49-44 in favor of Biden
Ohio – 45-43 in favor of Biden
Pennsylvania – 46-50 in favor of Trump
Texas – 48-48
Wisconsin – 49-40 in favor of Biden
Now, while Trump still has plenty of time to swing the pendulum, he can no longer sit idly by while Biden hides in his basement and continues to gain ground during this cycle.
If Trump loses states like Georgia, Wisconsin, and Ohio, he has virtually no chance of winning, let alone juggernaut states like Florida and Texas that have always voted red in the past.
The problem, however, is that the fight against Trump by the media is now far stronger than it was in 2016, as both social media and the mainstream media are all but shutting down conservative voices.
We all just saw what happened when Senator Cotton (R-AR) dared to publish an op-ed in the New York Times.
The editor responsible for the op-ed being approved resigned, a significant amount of NYT reporters went nuts, and the publication is now accepting fewer op-eds, which more or less means they are blatantly trying to silence the opposition.
If you thought it was a challenge to get Trump elected in 2016, that job will now be twice as difficult in 2020.
Sources: CNN & FiveThirtyEight
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